Consultative seasonal weather forecast for Kazakhstan for the cold half-year November 2026 - March 2027

IconPublished 16.10.2026

According to the preliminary forecast, November 2026 is expected to be warm with an air temperature above the climatic norm by 2° and mostly precipitation (the norms are given in the weather bulletin table). Most precipitation is expected in the northwestern, northern, northeastern, and eastern regions, as well as in the east and mountainous areas of the southeast. Precipitation in most of Kazakhstan is expected to be mixed (rain, snow, sleet), in the form of snow in the northern and eastern regions, with the exception of the beginning of the month, rain and snow are possible during this period. In addition, meteorological phenomena such as fog, icy conditions, gusty winds, and snowstorms are likely in most of the country, mainly in the northern half of the republic.

The temperature background is expected to rise in most parts of the country at the beginning of the month.:

in the north, in the center, in the east at night to 0,+5 ° C, in the daytime to +5+16 ° C

in the south, in the southeast at night up to +5+15 ° C, in the daytime up to +15+25 °C

In the western and southwestern regions, on the contrary, the air temperature is expected to drop to 0.7°C at night, to +5°C in the daytime, to -2+3°C at night in the southern stations, and to +3+10°C in the afternoon.

An unstable background temperature is expected during the second and third decades, with frequent fluctuations: in the northern half of the country at night from -1-13 °C to -3+5 °C, in the daytime from +1+10°C to -8°C, in the southern half of the country at night from -5°From to +2+10 ° C, during the day from 0,+5 ° C to +7+15 °C. However, on some days in the north, east and in the center of the country, night air temperatures are expected to drop to -10-18 °C.

Precipitation is forecast:

about the norm in most of the republic;

more than normal – in the north, in the northern part of the northwest, in the east (in North Kazakhstan, in East Kazakhstan, in most of Pavlodar, in the northern half of West Kazakhstan, Kostanay, Akmola, in the north of Aktobe regions, in the northeast and southeast of the Abai region), in the southeastern half of Almaty and the Zhetisu region.

According to the advisory seasonal forecast, the winter of 2026-2027 is expected to be relatively warm, with moderate precipitation. At the same time, in some areas of the north-west, north, north-east of the country and Central Kazakhstan, precipitation may exceed the climatic norm. Snowstorms and gusty winds are forecast in some places throughout the republic, icy conditions and fogs are possible. "Temperature swings" are also expected during the winter, which will contribute to the formation of an ice crust in the snow cover.

In December, the average air temperature is expected to exceed the norm by 2 ° throughout the republic.

The amount of precipitation is expected:

about the norm in most of the republic;

more than the norm is in the north, in the northern part of the northwest and northeast of the country (in North Kazakhstan, in most of Pavlodar, in the northern half of Kostanay, Akmola, in the north of West Kazakhstan, Aktobe, Abai region, East Kazakhstan regions);

less than the norm is in the south of the Kyzylorda region.

In January, the average air temperature is expected to be 1-2 degrees above normal in most of the republic, about normal in the northwestern half of the country (in West Kazakhstan, in most of Atyrau, Aktobe, Kostanay, North Kazakhstan regions, in the northwestern half of Akmola region).

The amount of precipitation is expected:

about the norm in most of the republic;

more than normal - in the south-west of West Kazakhstan, in the west of Atyrau, Mangystau regions;

less than normal – in the southeastern half of Kyzylorda, in the extreme south-east of Ulytau region, in the extreme south of Karaganda and Abai region, in the northern half of Turkestan, Zhambyl, Almaty and Zhetisu region.

In February, the average air temperature is expected:

above the norm by 1-3° in most of the republic;

about the norm is in the north and east of the republic (in North Kazakhstan, East Kazakhstan, most of Pavlodar, in the northeastern half of the Abai region, in the north of Kostanay, Akmola regions).

The amount of precipitation is expected:

more than the norm in most of the territory of the republic;

about the norm is in the western half of the country (in West Kazakhstan, Atyrau, Turkestan, most of Aktobe, Mangystau, Kostanay, Kyzylorda, Ulytau regions, in the extreme southwest of Akmola, in the extreme west of Karaganda, Zhambyl regions);

less than normal – in the southeastern half of Mangystau, in the south of Aktobe, in the south-west of Kyzylorda regions.

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