Preliminary hydrological forecast of the spring flood of 2026 in Akmola, Karaganda, North Kazakhstan, East Kazakhstan regions and Abai region

RSE Kazhydromet considers a number of regions of Kazakhstan to be at increased risk of spring flooding in 2026. According to preliminary hydrological forecasts, an increased probability of flooding is expected in Akmola, Karaganda, North Kazakhstan, East Kazakhstan regions, as well as in the Abai region.
The forecast is based on the analysis of long-term hydrometeorological observations, taking into account the key factors of the formation of spring flooding: autumn soil moisture, the depth of its freezing, the volume of snow accumulation and expected weather conditions in the upcoming period of snowmelt. According to experts, in these regions, the likelihood of rising water levels on individual rivers remains, which can lead to flooding of settlements, agricultural land and infrastructure facilities.
In the Akmola region, risks are associated with a possible increase in water levels on the Yesil, Kalkutan, Zhabai and Selety rivers. In the Karaganda region, attention is being paid to the basins of the Nura and Sherubainura rivers. In the North Kazakhstan region, special control has been established in areas below the Sergeyevsky reservoir. In the East Kazakhstan region and the Abai region, the risk is due to the projected amounts of snowmelt and the formation of significant meltwater.
RSE Kazhydromet notes that after the opening of rivers from the ice cover, weekly provision of short-term hydrological forecasts will be organized to promptly inform government agencies and the public.
The forecast is preliminary and will be updated as the synoptic and hydrological situation develops.