Consultative seasonal weather forecast for Kazakhstan for November 2025 - March 2026

Precipitation is forecast for most of Kazakhstan in November 2025, mainly in the form of snow. Rain and snow are expected in the southern and southwestern regions. Gusty winds, snowstorms, ice and fog are likely throughout the month, mainly in the northern, central and eastern regions of the country.

During November, there will often be fluctuations in air temperature, the so-called "temperature swings":

in the north, in the center, and in the east of the republic, at the beginning of the first decade, an increase in air temperature is predicted at night from -2-7 °C to 0,+5 °C, during the day from +2+7°C to +5+10 °C, by the end of the decade, a gradual decrease in temperature at night to -7-12°C, daytime up to 0,-5°C.

In the second and third decades of November, the air temperature is expected to fluctuate at night from -5-12 ° C to -10-16 ° C, in the center and east of the country to -18 ° C, during the day from -3+2 ° C to -5-10 ° C.

At the end of the month, the air temperature will drop to -20°C at night and 10-15°C during the day.

In the south-west, south, and south-east of the republic, the air temperature is expected to fluctuate during the month at night from -3-12 °C to 0,+7 °C, during the day from +1+6 °C to +8+18 °C. At the end of November, on some days frosts can increase at night to -5-15 ° C, during the day to 0,-5 ° C.

In general, the air temperature in November is expected to be above the norm by 1 °C throughout the country (the norms are given in the bulletin table).

Precipitation in November is forecast to be about normal in most of Kazakhstan, more than normal in the west and northeast of the republic (in North Kazakhstan, Akmola, East Kazakhstan regions, in most of West Kazakhstan, Pavlodar, in the west Atyrau, Mangystau, in the northeast Kostanay regions and in the east Abai region).

According to the preliminary forecast, the winter is expected to be moderately warm, with precipitation within the climatic norm in most of the republic. But in some periods, heavy precipitation with snowstorms, gusty winds, icy conditions, and fogs is possible. "Temperature swings" are also expected during the winter, which will contribute to the formation of an ice crust in the snow cover.

In December, in most of Kazakhstan, the air temperature is expected to be around normal, above normal by 1 ° C is expected in the northwestern half of the country (in West Kazakhstan, Atyrau, Mangystau, in most of Aktobe, Kostanay, North Kazakhstan regions, in the north-west of Akmola region), below normal by 1 °C is supposed to be in the extreme northeast of the country (in the northeast of the East Kazakhstan region).

The amount of precipitation in December is predicted:

about the norm - in most of the republic;

less than normal - in the center, in most of the east of the country, in the east of the Aktobe region, in the southern half of the northern region and in the far north of the southern regions;

In January, the air temperature is expected to be around normal in most of the country, below normal by 1 ° C is expected in the east of the republic (in the Abai and Zhetisu regions, in the East Kazakhstan region, in most of Almaty, in the east of Karaganda, Pavlodar regions).

Precipitation is expected in January:

about the norm in most of the republic;

more than the norm is in the mountainous and foothill regions of the south and south-east of the republic (in the mountainous and foothill regions of Turkestan, Zhambyl, Almaty regions, Zhetisu region and East Kazakhstan region);

In February, the average monthly air temperature is expected to be 1-2 degrees above normal throughout the country.

Precipitation is expected in February:

within the limits of the climatic norm throughout the republic.

According to the preliminary forecast, temperatures in March are expected to exceed the norm by 1° throughout the country.

Precipitation in March is expected to be near normal in most of the republic, higher than normal in mountainous and foothill areas of the south and southeast of the republic (in mountainous and foothill areas of Turkestan, Zhambyl, Almaty regions, Zhetisu region and East Kazakhstan region), less than normal in most of Mangystau region.